Europe Example country Epidemiological Indicators7 Economic/policy indicators Number of Number of airlines Date of Total New cases Peak case countries/ suspending initial number in last 14 Crude case count territories service to Traffic School 1 2 3 4 case of cases days 5-day new case trend fatality ratio observed? restricting travel country congestion closures 2,651 2,547 3,497 x 18 74 Country-wide 6 Italy 01/31 21,157 20,029 977 2,313 6.8% N 94 10 495 591 780 829 74 France 01/25 4,469 4,369 372 2.0% N 55 Country-wide 25 802 693 733 56 Germany 01/28 3,795 3,738 157 271 0.2% N 52 45 Local 825 1,266 1,522 59 Spain 02/01 5,753 5,708 615 501 2.4% N 49 Country-wide 5 Rest of region 01/29 9,900 9,754 8771,192 1,125 2,086 2,222 0.6% N Current phase CDC travel health notice Traffic congestion5 Stage 1: Stage 4: Small number of cases identified; no sustained local transmission Case growth and stretched Stage 2: health systems Warning Level 3 03/16/2019 Disease spread and sustained local transmission Stage 5: Alert Level 2 03/16/2020 Stage 3: New cases drop, activity Government action and shifts in public behavior. Not all affected regions resumes None enter stage 3, but interventions and economic impact signal prolonged recovery Source: WHO Situation Reports, TomTom traffic index, Baidu QianXi, CDC, IATA, BBC, NYT, Japan Times, NPR, Reuters, press research McKinsey & Company