South-Asia (ex-China) Example country Epidemiological Indicators7 Economic/policy indicators Number of Number of airlines Date of Total New cases Peak case countries/ suspending initial number in last 14 Crude case count territories service to Traffic School 1 2 3 4 case of cases days 5-day new case trend fatality ratio observed? restricting travel country congestion closures Prior to 242 x 13 Country-wide South Korea 01/20 8,162 4,426 114 110 107 76 0.9% N 86 Data N/A Prior to 54 52 55 41 64 63 Japan 01/20 780 541 2.8% N 48 Country-wide 47 12 9 13 12 59 Singapore 01/24 212 110 6 0% N 42 Not noted 24 Prior to 206 241 Rest of region 01/20 1,033 906 87 61 30 1.1% N Current phase CDC travel health notice Traffic congestion5 Stage 1: Stage 4: Small number of cases identified; no sustained local transmission Case growth and stretched Stage 2: health systems Warning Level 3 03/16/2019 Disease spread and sustained local transmission Stage 5: Alert Level 2 03/16/2020 Stage 3: New cases drop, activity Government action and shifts in public behavior. Not all affected regions resumes None enter stage 3, but interventions and economic impact signal prolonged recovery Source: WHO Situation Reports, TomTom traffic index, Baidu QianXi, CDC, IATA, BBC, NYT, Japan Times, NPR, Reuters, press research McKinsey & Company